The broader issue for the cartel is whether the current structure is flexible enough to accommodate the disparate economic needs of its constituents, especially in a challenging economic environment.
Research
Market Opportunities Amid An Economic Rotation | Weekly Market Commentary | December 4, 2023
Recent growth metrics surprised to the upside, but leading indicators point toward some downside risk. In this edition of the Weekly Market Commentary, we examine potential opportunities amid a rotation in housing, buying patterns, and inflation.
Anatomy Of A Market Rally | Weekly Market Commentary | November 20, 2023
As the market appears to be taking a rest and consolidating its $2.7 trillion rally leading up to the Thanksgiving holiday, the historical pattern over the last five years suggests the shortened holiday week typically enjoys modest gains.
Is The Stock Market Correction Over? | Weekly Market Commentary | November 13, 2023
One of the unchecked items is market breadth. Despite the recent rally, participation in the latest rebound has been underwhelming, raising questions over the sustainability of the advance. Second, 10-year Treasury yields remain in an uptrend, and until more technical evidence confirms the highs have been set, it may be challenging for stocks to maintain their upside momentum.
Can Muni Investors Catch A Break? We Think So | Weekly Market Commentary | November 6, 2023
It’s been another volatile year for municipal (muni) investors this year. While generally outperforming U.S. Treasuries, the Bloomberg Muni Index is on track for its second calendar year of negative returns something that has never happened before.
Possible Halloween Scares For Markets And The Economy | Weekly Market Commentary | October 30, 2023
It’s a tradition here to write about what scares us around Halloween each year.
Can Something Good Come From A Crisis? | Weekly Market Commentary | October 23, 2023
Despite headwinds, the U.S. could experience structural changes in the labor market, residential real estate, and inflation as the post-pandemic economy progresses into the New Year.
Earnings Hope To Keep This One-Year Old Bull Market Going | Weekly Market Commentary | October 16, 2023
The October-November reporting season can be particularly interesting because full-year numbers are nearly locked in while more companies share thoughts on the year ahead. Here are several things we will be watching as reports stream in.
Higher For Longer – Updating Our Treasury Forecast | Weekly Market Commentary | October 9, 2023
U.S. Treasury yields have seemingly been moving in one direction lately (higher), with the 30-year Treasury yield temporarily breaching 5% for the first time since 2007.
Prospects For a Fourth Quarter Rally | Weekly Market Commentary | October 2, 2023
After a difficult September for stocks, investors are surely ready to flip the calendar to October. That’s the month that kicks off the historically strong fourth quarter.