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Cockroaches, Canaries, and Credit Markets | Weekly Market Commentary | October 20, 2025
Corporate credit markets represent a vital component of the global financial system, providing businesses with essential capital for operations, growth, and strategic initiatives. These markets can, in general, be segmented into four distinct categories: investment-grade bonds, high-yield bonds, bank loans, and private credit.

Happy Anniversary Bull Market | Weekly Market Commentary | October 13, 2025
Year three of this bull market was a strong one. After a bit of a slow start — the S&P 500 rose 21.4% during the first year of this bull compared with the average first-year gain near 40% — year two was a catch-up year with a 32.2% gain vs. a second-year average of 12.4%. Then in year three, a year that had produced an average gain of only 5.2% historically, the S&P 500 rallied 16.1% (through October 8, 2025, before Friday’s sell-off). As noted in the “After a Strong Third Year, This Bull is Ahead of Schedule” chart, the nearly 89% gain in the S&P 500 since this bull market began on October 12, 2022 (excluding dividends), is well ahead of the average and median three-year advances for all bull markets since 1950.

Q3 Earnings Season Preview: Little Suspense | Weekly Market Commentary | October 6, 2025
Earnings season is usually predictable quarter to quarter in the absence of economic inflection points.

Equity Market Melt-Up Cools as Government Shutdown Looms | Weekly Market Commentary | September 29, 2025
U.S. equity markets have bucked the weak September seasonality trend (thus far) and rallied to fresh highs this month, with the S&P 500 holding onto a 2.8% monthly gain as of September 26.
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