Global Portfolio Strategy | March 9, 2021

Our year-end S&P 500 Index fair value target range remains 4,050–4,100, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) multiple of 21 and our 2022 S&P 500 earnings forecast of $195 per share. Recall that we raised our S&P 500 fair value target last month due to our...

Global Portfolio Strategy | February 9, 2021

We have raised our year-end S&P 500 Index fair value target range to 4,050–4,100 from 3,850–3,900 due to our increasingly optimistic expectations for US economic growth and corporate profits. Prospects for additional fiscal stimulus, recent progress in reducing...

Global Portfolio Strategy | January 12, 2021

We see an S&P 500 Index fair value target range of 3,850–3,900 at year-end 2021 with potential for upside if there’s better-than-expected progress on vaccine distribution. A strong earnings rebound may enable stocks to grow into somewhat elevated valuations. Our...

Global Portfolio Strategy | December 9, 2020

Stocks rose sharply in November after falling the prior two months, as the S&P 500 Index returned nearly 11%. Progress on COVID-19 vaccines and post-election policy clarity buoyed investor sentiment, offsetting surging COVID-19 cases in the United States and many...

Global Portfolio Strategy | October 9, 2020

Stocks pulled back in September as COVID-19 cases rose, causing the economic recovery to begin to lose some momentum. Policymakers in Washington, DC, struggled to reach an agreement on a stimlus package, and markets got a bit jittery as Election Day approached. The...

Global Portfolio Strategy | September 11, 2020

Stocks continued their positive momentum with strong gains in August, sending the S&P 500 Index to new record highs before volatility returned in early September. The economic recovery remained on track even as the threat of COVID-19 lingers, while massive...